United States Department of Agriculture
Natural Resources Conservation Service
National Water and Climate Center Go to Accessibility Information
Skip to Page Content
National Water and Climate Center

Professional Publications

Includes peer-reviewed journal articles and book chapters authored by National Water and Climate Center staff.

Reference PDF File
Fleming SW, Goodbody AG.  2019.  A machine learning metasystem for robust probabilistic nonlinear regression-based forecasting of seasonal water availability in the US West.  IEEE Access, 7, 119943-119964, doi:10.1109/ACCESS.2019.2936989. Link
Kormos, P. R., D. G. Marks, M. S. Seyfried, S. C. Havens, A. Hedrick, K. A. Lohse, M. Sandusky, A. Kahl, and D. Garen (2018).  31 years of hourly spatially distributed air temperature, humidity, and precipitation amount and phase from Reynolds Critical Zone Observatory.  Earth System Science Data, 10, 1197-1205. Link
Lehner, F., A. W. Wood, D. Llewellyn, D. B. Blatchford, A. G. Goodbody, and F. Pappenberger (2017). Mitigating the impacts of climate nonstationarity on seasonal streamflow predictability in the U.S. Southwest. Geophysical Research Letters, 44(24), 12208-12217. Link
Harpold, A. A., K. Sutcliffe, J. Clayton, A. Goodbody, and S. Vazquez (2017).  Does including soil moisture observations improve operational streamflow forecasts in snow-dominated watersheds?  Journal of the American Water Resources Association, 53(1), 179-196. Link
Pagano, T., A. Wood, K. Werner, and R. Tama (2014). Western U.S. water supply forecasting: A tradition evolves. Eos, Transactions, American Geophysical Union, 95(3), 28-29. Link
Madadgar, S., H. Moradkhani, and D. Garen (2014). Towards improved post-processing of hydrologic forecast ensembles. Hydrological Processes, 28, 104-122. Link
Garen, D. C. (2013). Choosing and assimilating forcing data for hydrological prediction. In: J.W. Pomeroy, P. H. Whitfield, and C. Spence (eds.), Putting Prediction in Ungauged Basins into Practice, Canadian Water Resources Association, 89-100. Link
Weber, F., D. Garen, and A. Gobena (2012). Invited commentary: Themes and issues from the workshop "Operational River Flow and Water Supply Forecasting". Canadian Water Resources Journal, 37(3), 151-161. Link
Abramovich, R., and M. Strobel (2009).  Energy and water programs within the United States Department of Agriculture.  Journal of Contemporary Water Research and Education, Universities Council on Water Resources, 143, 35-41. Link
Kennedy, A. M., D. C. Garen,  and R. W. Koch (2009). The association between climate teleconnection indices and Upper Klamath seasonal streamflow:  Trans-Niño Index.  Hydrological Processes, 23, 973-984. Link
Pagano, T. C., D. C. Garen, T. R. Perkins,  and P. A. Pasteris (2009). Daily updating of operational statistical seasonal water supply forecasts for the western U.S.  Journal of the American Water Resources Association, 45(3), 767-778. Link
Perkins, T. R., T. C. Pagano,  and D. C. Garen (2009). Innovative operational seasonal water supply forecasting technologies.  Journal of Soil and Water Conservation, 64(1), 15A-17A. Link
Strobel, M. L., J. Lea, M. J. Brunengo, and P. F. Pedone(2009). Snowpack data collection in the Mount Hood area using SNOTEL and geomorphic events related to snowmelt. In: J. O'Connor, R. Dorsey, and I. Madin (eds.), Volcanoes to Vineyards: Geologic Field Trips through the Dynamic Landscape of the Pacific Northwest, Geological Society of America Field Guides 15, 471-480. Link
Şensoy, A., A. A. Şorman, A. E. Tekeli, A. Ü. Şorman, and D. C. Garen (2006).  Point-scale energy and mass balance snowpack simulations in the upper Karasu basin, Turkey.  Hydrological Processes, 20, 899-922. Link
Pagano, T. C., and D. C. Garen (2006). Integration of climate information and forecasts into western US water supply forecasts.  In: J. D. Garbrecht and T. C. Piechota (eds.), Climate Variations, Climate Change, and Water Resources Engineering , American Society of Civil Engineers, 86-103. Link
Garen, D. C., and D. Marks (2005). Spatially distributed energy balance snowmelt modelling in a mountainous river basin: Estimation of meteorological inputs and verification of model results. Journal of Hydrology, 313, 126-153. Link
Garen, D. C., and D. S. Moore (2005). Curve number hydrology in water quality modeling: Uses, abuses, and future directions. Journal of the American Water Resources Association, 41(2), 377-388. Link
Pagano, T. C., and D. C. Garen (2005).  A recent increase in western US streamflow variability and persistence. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 6, 173-179. Link
Risley, J. C., M. W. Gannett, J. K. Lea, and E. A. Roehl Jr. (2005).  An analysis of statistical methods for seasonal flow forecasting in the Upper Klamath River Basin of Oregon and California.  U. S. Geological Survey Scientific Investigations Report 2005-5177. Link
Pagano, T. C., D. C. Garen, and S. Sorooshian (2004).  Evaluation of official Western US seasonal water supply outlooks, 1922-2002. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 5, 896-909. Link
Pagano, T. C., P. Pasteris, M. Dettinger, D. Cayan, and K. T. Redmond (2004).  Water year 2004: Western water managers feel the heat. Eos, Transactions, American Geophysical Union, 85(40), 385, 392-393. Link
Hartmann, H. C., T. C. Pagano, S. Sorooshian, and R. Bales (2002). Confidence builders: Evaluating seasonal climate forecasts from user perspectives. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 83(5), 683-698. Link
Pagano, T. C., H. C. Hartmann, and S. Sorooshian (2002).  Factors affecting seasonal forecast use in Arizona water management: A case study of the 1997-98 El Niño. Climate Research, 21, 259-269. Link
Garen, D., D. Woodward, and F. Geter (1999). A user agency's view of hydrologic, soil erosion and water quality modelling. Catena, 37, 277-289. Link
Garen, D. C., G. L. Johnson, and C. L. Hanson (1994). Mean areal precipitation for daily hydrologic modeling in mountainous regions. Water Resources Bulletin, 30(3), 481-491. Link
Garen, D. C. (1993). Revised surface water supply index for western United States. Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management, American Society of Civil Engineers, 119(4), 437-454. Link
Garen, D. C. (1992). Improved techniques in regression-based streamflow volume forecasting. Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management, American Society of Civil Engineers, 118(6), 654-670. Link